Anca Alexia Todoni vs Darya Astakhova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining second serve performance over the last six months, Todoni leads with 43.18% of points won compared to Astakhova's 36.2%. This indicates a stronger second serve presence from Todoni.
• Looking at return game effectiveness, Astakhova has a slight edge with 53.37% of points won on opponents' second serves, outperforming Todoni's 49.73%. However, what about first serve returns? Astakhova boasts a 38.84% win rate compared to Todoni's 31.73%, suggesting Astakhova's superior return ability.
• In pressure moments, such as saving breakpoints, Todoni outdoes Astakhova by saving 52.54% of them, whereas Astakhova saves 45.05%.
• Over the past year, Astakhova achieved a match win rate of 66.67%, which is slightly higher than Todoni's 62.5%, indicating slightly better overall performance.
• On their favorite surface, clay, Todoni outshines with a 74% win rate, while Astakhova follows with 70%. But is there a surface where either player struggles more? Astakhova hasn't won on grass, and Todoni struggles on indoor hard courts with a 22% win rate.
• When it comes to recent match levels, Todoni has excelled in the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K with an 83.87% win rate, indicating a higher performance level compared to Astakhova's 63.64% in similar events.
• Directly, Astakhova leads in their head-to-head record with one victory over Todoni, which could be significant for predicting outcomes.
• The average rank of opponents faced shows Todoni played tougher competition over the past year, with an average rank of 185.05 compared to Astakhova’s 336.19.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Astakhova’s record is clearly better, winning 63% of deciding sets to Todoni’s 43%.
• In converting break chances, both have similar recent form with Todoni slightly ahead at 36.69% compared to Astakhova’s 34.64%.

Editorial Prediction (September 4, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Astakhova and Todoni promises to be competitive, with both players showing recent strengths in different aspects of the game.

While Todoni has demonstrated a stronger second serve performance and has faced tougher competition over the past year, Astakhova appears to have an edge in return games, especially against the first serve, and has a superior deciding set record.

Although Todoni has been stellar on clay, where this match might take place, Astakhova’s better head-to-head record and overall return game proficiency suggest she might handle the pressure moments better.

Based on these factors, Astakhova is slightly favored to win the match, particularly if the contest extends to a deciding set.